Embarrassed-Customer
0x92243ccdf409be9c309ac418fe78e920325c0792
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$15.68
Total PnL
$-47.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Netanyahu out by July 31?
16 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.68
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 9?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 16?
975 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 21?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $250 on October 22?
258 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in January?
169 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on February 4?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by July 31?$15.70Jul 18, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?$100.10Jun 9, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?$100.00Jun 8, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$100.10Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$100.00Jun 1, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$100.10May 26, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$100.00May 24, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$100.10May 24, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$100.00May 21, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$100.10May 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$100.01May 9, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?$100.10May 9, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?$100.01May 6, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$98.79May 6, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$98.00May 4, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$33.06May 4, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$66.20May 4, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$66.00Apr 28, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 28, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$33.00Apr 28, 10:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $63.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 13:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 08:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.