Gracious-Kind
0x9227dd14750a6642fe73cdbb321907999f7d44be
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-140.89
Win rate
1%
124 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?
3089 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-85.70
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?
2721 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-85.70
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Colombia?
2381 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-28.57
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
2381 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-42.85
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?
2171 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-49.85
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?
1714 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-42.85
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
1666 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?
1587 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-57.14
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Colombia?
1504 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-28.57
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
1428 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-42.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$104.27Aug 22, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.91Aug 22, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.03Aug 22, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$414.57Aug 22, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$401.27Aug 22, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.09Aug 22, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.04Aug 22, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.06Aug 22, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$407.72Aug 22, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$207.14Aug 22, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.07Aug 22, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.07Aug 22, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$210.29Aug 22, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$200.70Aug 22, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$104.30Aug 22, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$170.57Aug 22, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$102.94Aug 22, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.31Jul 22, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$34.19Jul 19, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?$44.93Jul 19, 17:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 124 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
124 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $83.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 18:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 09:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 124 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.