Tame-Warming
0x923817b1b018ef99149568c0fe95295717985f5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-521.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
1049 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
806 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 PGA Championship?
714 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 PGA Championship?
588 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?
370 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?
217 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
206 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
196 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
175 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$9.35Jun 25, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$10.69Jun 25, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$20.00Jun 25, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Jun 24, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$10.32Jun 24, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5$10.16Jun 24, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCzechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5$10.14Jun 24, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?$10.26Jun 24, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$10.15Jun 24, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)$10.15Jun 24, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-24?$10.21Jun 24, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$17.86Jun 23, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$10.31Jun 23, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5$20.83Jun 23, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$21.28Jun 22, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$18.52Jun 22, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$10.32Jun 22, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$10.24Jun 22, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5$10.16Jun 22, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$10.16Jun 22, 17:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $10.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 21:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.