0x9239d667543e415182653804f414642d58970c62
0x9239d667543e415182653804f414642d58970c62
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$243.04
Total PnL
$-389.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
65 shares @ 54.1¢·now 73.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$47.31
$12.31
- NO
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
45 shares @ 70.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$32.07
$0.67
- OVER
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
32 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.9¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$24.96
$-0.04
- ARGENTINA
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
56 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.9¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$24.93
$-0.07
- OVER
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5
34 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$24.83
$-0.17
- SPAIN
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 40.4¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$19.69
$-0.31
- OVER
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
24 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$14.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39 shares @ 38.4¢·now 33.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.22
$-1.78
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
21 shares @ 48.5¢·now 53.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$11.10
$1.10
- YES
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$10.35
$0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$31.87Jul 13, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$5.19Jul 13, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5$25.32Jul 13, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$10.28Jul 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$25.69Jul 12, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$25.29Jul 12, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals$5.18Jul 12, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$15.28Jul 12, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$20.59Jul 12, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5$93.19Jul 12, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5$65.98Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$25.54Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$68.91Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$42.37Jul 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$25.44Jul 11, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$25.51Jul 11, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$41.84Jul 10, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5$64.31Jul 10, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$25.50Jul 10, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$9.72Jul 10, 07:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $18.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 07:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.