Quarterly-Everyone
0x923cab91dbbba0cefa969e9312bfdff2a199fa1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-145.04
Realised
$119.49
Win rate
100%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- OVER
Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 4?
3352 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.35
- UNDER
Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 4?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- OVER
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 4?
2987 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- OVER
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 4?
2018 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- OVER
Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 4?
2012 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- UNDER
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?
2006 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- NO
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 7 be between 4,500 and 5,000?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $150-$152 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- OVER
Midon vs. Ambrogi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get at least 33 million views on day 4?$0.01Jul 28, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get at least 33 million views on day 4?$0.03Jul 28, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get at least 33 million views on day 4?$0.02Jul 28, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get at least 33 million views on day 4?$0.06Jul 28, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get at least 33 million views on day 4?$0.01Jul 28, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 4?$0.15Jul 28, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 4?$0.11Jul 28, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?$0.50Jul 28, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?$0.57Jul 28, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: SK Nebula vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby - Map 1 Winner$0.56Jul 28, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?$0.01Jul 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?$0.11Jul 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?$0.15Jul 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?$0.16Jul 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?$0.26Jul 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 in July?$0.01Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 in July?$0.33Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 in July?$0.01Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 in July?$0.01Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 in July?$0.01Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 17:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.