Glass-Yard
0x9241f108e7bc18f571628e602604f7647985e317
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-138.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
273 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.18
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $92,000 on November 15?
273 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 13?
271 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 1?
270 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will monthly inflation be lower than 1.5% in October?
270 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.62
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on November 18?
269 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on November 17?
266 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 19?
265 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 11?
264 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.76
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on December 1?
264 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 11?$181.86Jul 11, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 11?$0.61Jul 11, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 11?$179.80Jul 11, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?$2.49Jul 7, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?$1.93Jul 2, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 1?$170.57Jun 1, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 1?$0.57Jun 1, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 1?$168.64May 31, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 May 25-31?$3.31May 31, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 25?$197.54May 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 25?$194.18May 24, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 22?$1.64May 21, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?$201.19May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?$199.98May 17, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?$1.26May 10, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 28?$199.09May 10, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 16?$0.00Apr 27, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on November 21?$0.00Apr 18, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 16?$1.31Apr 16, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 29?$0.00Apr 10, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $45.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 17:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.