Gruesome-Ostrich
0x924446c8d581cd23a5e7cf77dfc8bf699050e364
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$13.77
Total PnL
$-6.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$10.00Jan 11, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?$10.00Jan 11, 03:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.54Jan 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$45.91Jan 10, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$3.61Jan 10, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$2.00Jan 10, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 10, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$2.43Jan 10, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$126.49Jan 10, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.95Jan 10, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.95Jan 10, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.95Jan 10, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$96.71Jan 10, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.2KJan 10, 08:30 UTC
- SPLITKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.5KJan 10, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMLinea airdrop in Q1 2025?$10.47Jan 10, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLinea airdrop in Q1 2025?$9.74Feb 23, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.00Feb 23, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2024?$2.31Feb 23, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House$3.02Feb 23, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $73.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 03:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.