Ragged-Mask
0x92445bc47ee04ba36d419e43be247189eaac6126
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$18.70
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
79 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-44.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
79 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-44.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
79 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-44.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
79 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-34.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
79 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-43.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
79 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-35.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
79 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-35.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
79 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-43.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
79 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-42.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
79 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-36.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$4.81Apr 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.45Apr 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.40Apr 27, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$4.82Apr 27, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$4.83Apr 27, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$4.82Apr 27, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$2.55Apr 27, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$2.55Apr 27, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$2.70Apr 27, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$2.65Apr 27, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$2.65Apr 27, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$2.65Apr 27, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.65Apr 27, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$2.55Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$2.50Apr 27, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$4.82Apr 27, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$2.50Apr 27, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$2.50Apr 27, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$4.82Apr 27, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$2.45Apr 27, 01:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 20:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.