Compassionate-Roster
0x924cccd279d64365e941b902f84840d893920fad
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$127.20
Total PnL
$-124.37
Realised
$-2.58
Win rate
0%
53 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.74
$0.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 13?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.74
$0.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 13?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.74
$0.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 13?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.68
$0.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 13?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.62
$0.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 13?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.62
$0.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 13?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.55
$0.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 13?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.47
$0.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on August 13?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.44
$0.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 14?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$5.43
$0.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 15?$5.02Aug 13, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 15?$5.03Aug 13, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 12?$5.11Aug 13, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 15?$5.03Aug 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 15?$5.03Aug 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?$5.01Aug 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 15?$5.03Aug 13, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 77°F or below on August 12?$5.81Aug 13, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 12?$5.62Aug 13, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 12?$5.00Aug 13, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 12?$5.75Aug 13, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 12?$5.56Aug 13, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 12?$5.88Aug 13, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 14?$5.03Aug 13, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 14?$5.03Aug 13, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 13?$5.03Aug 13, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 12?$5.36Aug 12, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 12?$5.06Aug 12, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 13?$5.02Aug 12, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 14?$5.02Aug 12, 16:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 53 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
53 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 53 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.