Focused-Pinstripe
0x9254dd1b9e83c6f13836415f757a4e44533fcc0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$15.97
Total PnL
$-195.39
Realised
$-4.94
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
256 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.72
$-1.28
- YES
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
16 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$5.20Jun 22, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$5.24Jun 22, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$5.33Jun 22, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$12.50Jun 22, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.21Jun 22, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.18Jun 22, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$5.29Jun 22, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$23.81Jun 22, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.28Jun 22, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.29Jun 22, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$5.22Jun 22, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$5.29Jun 22, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$17.86Jun 22, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.25Jun 22, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$12.50Jun 22, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.21Jun 22, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5.25Jun 22, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$5.23Jun 22, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$9.80Jun 22, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$5.29Jun 22, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 17:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.