Ill-Fated-Manifestation
0x92598173c98fde43d9d8827a0e02a5fab7636584
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-39.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 1AM ET
280 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-13.60
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 8PM ET
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- HOLLAND
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.08
- YES
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?
10 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$3.08Oct 19, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$3.14Oct 19, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$3.00Oct 19, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$2.40Oct 19, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$5.44Aug 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1AM ET$2.61Aug 13, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?$2.61Aug 13, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?$5.88Aug 11, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 8, 1AM ET$4.20Aug 8, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 8, 1AM ET$0.40Aug 8, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 8, 1AM ET$2.00Aug 8, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 8, 1AM ET$3.00Aug 8, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 8, 1AM ET$0.25Aug 8, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 8, 1AM ET$3.75Aug 8, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 6, 8PM ET$1.60Aug 7, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7PM ET$1.60Aug 6, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7PM ET$4.43Aug 6, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $3.7 in July?$0.08Jul 30, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?$0.75Jul 27, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.7 in July?$13.00Jul 23, 04:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 18:38 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 19, 03:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.