Immediate-Fallacy
0x9264ad82dea4f43297d2fe56cb97c23feec6ec96
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$8.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- KINGS
Kings vs. Warriors
946 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-160.82
- HORNETS
Hornets vs. Clippers
890 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-320.40
- 49ERS
Seahawks vs. 49ers
757 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-310.51
- HEAT
Heat vs. Thunder
632 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-88.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
369 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-324.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
219 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-197.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
217 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-188.77
- PENGUINS
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins
205 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-104.55
- WIZARDS
Hawks vs. Wizards
126 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-27.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
100 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-23.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?$20.05May 17, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$18.08May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$1.15May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$1.00May 17, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$15.79May 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$15.83May 17, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$13.34May 17, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLJuventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5$13.36May 17, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYJuventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5$11.94May 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$21.38Apr 1, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$21.38Apr 1, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$19.99Mar 30, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?$9.36Feb 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?$191.56Jan 28, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?$261.30Jan 28, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?$3.00Jan 28, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?$1.00Jan 28, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?$30.00Jan 27, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?$1.00Jan 27, 23:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $36.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.