Polite-Pinafore
0x926d3ffcd610439f272edeed2ba9fd43b10c580b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
13000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
13000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
19 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.09Dec 15, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7-9 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$1.20Dec 15, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.18Dec 15, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMFed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?$1.02Dec 11, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$1.02Dec 11, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?$1.00Dec 3, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEM Lee Jong-seop in jail by November 15?$1.01Nov 26, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.01Nov 26, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMFrench election called by October 31?$1.54Nov 26, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.00Nov 13, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUY Lee Jong-seop in jail by November 15?$1.00Nov 8, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7-9 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$1.20Oct 29, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$1.22Oct 20, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$1.23Oct 20, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMRams vs. Jaguars$6.00Oct 20, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for less than 2 seconds?$1.24Oct 19, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$1.32Oct 19, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 17?$1.33Oct 19, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on October 17?$1.50Oct 19, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $421.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 02:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".