Adolescent-Vertigo
0x927517657baf4bb0e8c5e7fafaa3ee2c7990e911
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$238.05
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
100 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$100.00
$0.50
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
100 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.05
$-0.15
- NO
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
40 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$40.00
$0.84
- CLIPPERS
Clippers vs. Magic
1600 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-528.00
- NO
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?
1500 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-495.00
- GRIZZLIES
Jazz vs. Grizzlies
1000 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-710.00
- BILLS
Bills vs. Texans
900 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-648.00
- RAPTORS
Knicks vs. Raptors
650 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-240.50
- YES
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- HAWKS
Hawks vs. Wizards
450 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-373.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$99.50Jul 26, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$98.29Jul 4, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?$39.16Jul 4, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$100.00Jul 4, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.13Jun 18, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$100.00Jun 18, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$97.40May 26, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$60.00May 26, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$56.59May 8, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$99.14May 8, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$6.24May 8, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$70.00May 8, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$149.97May 8, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$149.25Apr 17, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$150.00Apr 17, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$64.40Mar 24, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$143.91Mar 7, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$150.00Mar 7, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$24.00Feb 17, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?$80.00Feb 17, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $386.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 12:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 07:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.