Plaintive-Atheist
0x927891be906d38ad2074a91e299ca1f2ee3f5b14
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$704.92
Total PnL
$96.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Binance insolvent in 2023?
300 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$300.00
$36.00
- YES
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season?
242 shares @ 47.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2023$242.48
$126.43
- NO
Trump mugshot by Aug 15?
121 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2023$121.44
$9.72
- REPUBLICAN
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
41 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$41.00
$22.14
- NO
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?
118 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2023$0.00
$-97.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season?$116.05Aug 7, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump mugshot by Aug 15?$111.73Aug 7, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31?$0.00Aug 7, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump be indicted a third time by July 31?$0.00Aug 7, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend?$0.00Aug 7, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH hit $2,500 by July 31?$0.00Aug 7, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump be indicted a third time by July 31?$0.00Aug 7, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump be indicted a third time by July 31?$330.00Aug 7, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $113.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 09:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.