Weird-Visual
0x9280bfc290a8d148dbecf77935a0e4ae9acc9f91
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$235.65
Total PnL
$-39.66
Realised
$-25.71
Win rate
0%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Ron Eller be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?
15 shares @ 40.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$15.42
$9.11
- NO
Will Kevin Wilson be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?
15 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$14.71
$9.27
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 3% and 6.00%?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$12.20
$2.20
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 0% and 3.00%?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$11.90
$1.90
- NO
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
12 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$11.60
$5.10
- NO
Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be at least 2.4%?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$10.87
$0.87
- NO
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.3%?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$10.53
$0.53
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by 6% or more?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$10.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.1%?
10 shares @ 86.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$10.20
$1.33
- NO
Will Canada’s February 2026 unemployment rate be ≤6.2%?
10 shares @ 91.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$10.19
$0.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 0% and 3.00%?$10.00Mar 4, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?$8.82Mar 4, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by 6% or more?$10.00Mar 2, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 3% and 6.00%?$9.94Mar 2, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 3% and 6.00%?$0.06Mar 2, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?$5.49Feb 28, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada’s February 2026 unemployment rate be 6.3%?$3.98Feb 27, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada’s February 2026 unemployment rate be ≥6.8%?$5.68Feb 26, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada’s February 2026 unemployment rate be 6.7%?$7.41Feb 26, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by between 0% and 3.00%?$10.00Feb 25, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada’s February 2026 unemployment rate be 6.3%?$3.90Feb 24, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Madhav Kumar Nepal be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$10.00Feb 23, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.60–2.70 in February?$1.96Feb 22, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$2.46Feb 22, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.60–2.70 in February?$1.00Feb 22, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.60–2.70 in February?$1.00Feb 22, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.60–2.70 in February?$6.00Feb 22, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?$6.99Feb 22, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump endorse John Cornyn for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?$5.50Feb 22, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?$1.30Feb 22, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 01:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 02:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.