Palatable-Pantsuit-Grit
0x928cdeedb7bb9a49479c6f55d26231cccadaf66b
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$9.60
Total PnL
$-164.98
Realised
$3.34
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$4.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
132 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
79 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
39 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$5.14Jul 3, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$5.10Jul 3, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.09Jul 3, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.08Jul 3, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.09Jul 3, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.10Jul 3, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$5.11Jul 3, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$5.12Jul 3, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$5.24Jul 3, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$5.14Jul 3, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria win on 2026-07-02?$0.00Jul 3, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$31.43Jul 3, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.14Jul 3, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.14Jul 3, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.12Jul 3, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.12Jul 3, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$35.67Jul 3, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.01Jul 3, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.03Jul 3, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.03Jul 3, 01:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 22:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.