Unhappy-Park
0x9298f0ac8becb24fb77eafd8561b489cb543dd57
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-415.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Natalia Díaz Quintana win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
14746 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.12
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
769 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will "Callaita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- GERMANY
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
102 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
70 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- PORTUGAL
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1.24Jul 6, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance$60.74Jun 29, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$305.49Jun 29, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$357.14Jun 29, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$102.16Jun 29, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be less than 55%?$0.00Apr 11, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 64% and 66%?$0.00Apr 11, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%?$0.00Apr 11, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be at least 72%?$0.00Apr 11, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%?$0.00Apr 11, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 68% and 70%?$100.00Apr 11, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%?$0.31Mar 4, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%?$0.50Mar 4, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%?$0.08Mar 4, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%?$0.11Mar 4, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$10.00Feb 16, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Callaita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$0.91Feb 8, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$0.96Feb 8, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$1.50Feb 8, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$1.50Feb 8, 23:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $11.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 19:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.