Immediate-Epoxy
0x92a98ddbc99deb10178a3d7589b818f87385e971
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$232.52
Total PnL
$-432.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Portugal to win the second half?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$104.17
$54.17
- YES
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score
52 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$51.72
$21.72
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
103 shares @ 48.7¢·now 43.6¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$44.74
$-5.26
- YES
Switzerland leading at halftime?
108 shares @ 37.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$31.89
$-8.11
- SENEGAL
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Portugal leading at halftime?
140 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals
113 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Belgium to score first vs. Senegal?
109 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
109 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
England leading at halftime?
107 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland leading at halftime?$40.76Jul 2, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$50.77Jul 2, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpain to win the second half?$103.17Jul 2, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMSpain leading at halftime?$103.45Jul 2, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$30.38Jul 2, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals$18.45Jul 2, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal to win the second half?$50.78Jul 2, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal leading at halftime?$61.03Jul 2, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain to win the second half?$65.72Jul 2, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain leading at halftime?$60.76Jul 2, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$104.17Jul 2, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States to win the second half?$106.56Jul 2, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States leading at halftime?$113.21Jul 2, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$75.63Jul 1, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States to win the second half?$65.76Jul 1, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance$101.74Jul 1, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?$15.35Jul 1, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?$10.27Jul 1, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal?$16.41Jul 1, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$101.56Jul 1, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $52.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 23:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.