Cumbersome-Material
0x92add6478a8b09c7a446faa75f598ef97d85a084
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$56.62
Total PnL
$-194.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
147 shares @ 34.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$56.62
$6.62
- YES
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
523 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.42
- YES
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Leo" or "Pope" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
343 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
324 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?
193 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-26.98
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
177 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 14?
108 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?
104 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$15.55May 13, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 14?$41.26May 13, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 13, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage?$20.00Apr 19, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Leo" or "Pope" during Fox interview on Wednesday?$20.00Apr 15, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$5.00Apr 15, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$287.36Apr 13, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$20.00Apr 9, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$50.00Apr 2, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$109.57Apr 2, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?$26.98Apr 1, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$50.00Apr 1, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?$25.00Apr 1, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $29.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 23:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 14:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.