Monthly-Celsius
0x92b0bc7729c9810f125ecd34007944bfb30594df
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
125
Open notional
$18.07
Total PnL
$-340.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
23 shares @ 66.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.07
$3.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
55 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- NO
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
19 shares @ 78.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- YES
San Marino vs. Andorra: Both Teams to Score
18 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- NO
AZ vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Score
15 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- NO
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- NO
SV 07 Elversberg vs. SC Paderborn 07: Both Teams to Score
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.