Major-Reamer
0x92bae198769a0b7134a1ceca2b326b0bffb71d1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-56.25
Realised
$8.87
Win rate
100%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 13?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13?
1998 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9?
1765 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9?
1654 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 16?
1592 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24?$0.97Jul 24, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24?$0.01Jul 24, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24?$0.02Jul 24, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24?$0.25Jul 24, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24?$0.02Jul 24, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24?$0.30Jul 24, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24?$0.31Jul 24, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24?$0.11Jul 24, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 24?$1.00Jul 24, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 24?$1.00Jul 24, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 24?$0.50Jul 24, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 24?$0.50Jul 24, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 24?$1.00Jul 23, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 24?$1.00Jul 23, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 24?$1.00Jul 23, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 23?$0.22Jul 23, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 23?$0.44Jul 23, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 23?$0.34Jul 23, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 23?$0.16Jul 23, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 23?$1.00Jul 23, 09:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 07:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 08:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.