Negligible-Understatement
0x92d79573dda852adf8dc71f14147816eca3d478f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$2.13
Total PnL
$-65.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NICOLAI BUDKOV KJAER
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
2 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$2.13
$0.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Pelicans
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
14 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-02?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
9 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- RAJASTHAN ROYALS
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- TIMBERWOLVES
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
8 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
- YES
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-16?
8 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?
8 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly$1.69May 19, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Rei Sakamoto$8.32May 11, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Rei Sakamoto$5.22Apr 20, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals$5.00Apr 13, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$6.34Apr 13, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$3.60Apr 6, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Hornets$4.81Apr 6, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Hornets$2.50Mar 29, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pelicans$6.25Mar 25, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pelicans$4.00Mar 21, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMBucks vs. Hawks$2.67Mar 21, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.00Mar 14, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Hawks$2.00Mar 14, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-02?$5.00Mar 2, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs home (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Play-In Play-In$4.90Mar 2, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs home (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Play-In Play-In$5.00Feb 20, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$4.50Feb 6, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Thunder$8.00Feb 6, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Thunder$5.60Feb 3, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMStars vs. Blues$7.46Feb 3, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.