Stiff-Causeway
0x92d7d70c3229cf2235c4f6985bfa62d3d4b5a0cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$16.87
Total PnL
$6.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$8.33
$7.33
- 70K
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.45
$1.47
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$3.98Feb 4, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 4, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 28, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 28, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$1.00Jan 28, 18:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 18:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 11:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.