Legal-Parrot
0x92d84e387e0d9afe58674f03d9258df8d9db4378
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 22?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
165 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
145 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
115 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
75 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
House passes Epstein disclosure bill on Tuesday?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
27 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Dec 26, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.00Dec 26, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.00Dec 26, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.96Dec 25, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.06Dec 25, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.00Dec 12, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Dec 12, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Dec 12, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$1.00Dec 12, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.58Dec 12, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.42Dec 12, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on December 12?$0.21Dec 12, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on December 12?$0.26Dec 12, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on December 12?$0.26Dec 12, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on December 12?$0.26Dec 12, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 22?$1.00Dec 11, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?$1.04Dec 11, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?$1.28Dec 11, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?$0.92Dec 10, 12:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $0.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 08:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.