0x92df39d5085a95d9971cad8a3526ff11cc66d869
0x92df39d5085a95d9971cad8a3526ff11cc66d869
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$17.24
Total PnL
$-35.83
Realised
$-3.07
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Helsingborgs IF win on 2026-08-11?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$17.24
$7.24
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will IFK Norrkoping FK win on 2026-07-28?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Helsingborgs IF win on 2026-08-11?$10.61Aug 11, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IFK Norrkoping FK win on 2026-07-28?$10.62Jul 28, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$10.61Jul 4, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-24?$10.61Jun 24, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-17?$5.30Jun 17, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$5.31Jun 14, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.00Jun 1, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Granada CF win on 2026-05-30?$11.29Jun 1, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Degerfors IF win on 2026-05-31?$23.33Jun 1, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Degerfors IF win on 2026-05-31?$14.73May 31, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-30?$7.36May 30, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Granada CF win on 2026-05-30?$7.36May 30, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-05-25?$0.00May 30, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-25?$9.80May 30, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?$8.20May 25, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-05-25?$5.26May 25, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-25?$5.27May 25, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?$9.80May 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?$5.26May 24, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill SK Brann win on 2026-05-10?$20.00May 23, 06:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $8.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 11:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 09:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.