Puzzling-Exaggeration
0x92e810423e30179bfcebacd10afb56ee70e86a0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-982.41
Realised
$51.76
Win rate
92%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9AM ET
5326 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
1904 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2PM ET
1333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
1239 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
1025 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
726 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.91
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
679 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
563 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$2.00Apr 13, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.00Apr 13, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2PM ET$198.29Apr 13, 02:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.10Apr 13, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$10.00Apr 12, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.90Apr 12, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$10.00Apr 12, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$10.00Apr 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$2.00Apr 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$2.00Apr 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Apr 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.00Apr 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Apr 12, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$4.09Apr 12, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$26.41Apr 12, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$69.94Apr 12, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$127.15Apr 12, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$346.17Apr 12, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$8.89Apr 12, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$10.00Apr 12, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $8.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.