Yearly-Compass-Reduction
0x92eb882605614a76e1a95462457c932d9d2fbfc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$20.43
Total PnL
$-13.33
Realised
$-2.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
25 shares @ 69.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.50
$-6.75
- NO
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
25 shares @ 36.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 15.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.92
$-1.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election?$0.03Jun 26, 05:12 UTC
- REWARD$3.29Jun 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election?$0.82Jun 25, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election?$0.32Jun 25, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election?$0.31Jun 25, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election?$0.32Jun 25, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 25, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$1.75Jun 25, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$7.00Jun 25, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$8.75Jun 25, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$9.25Jun 25, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$7.75Jun 25, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$7.94Jun 25, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$10.00Jun 25, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$3.00Jun 25, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$17.25Jun 25, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$3.10Jun 25, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$9.65Jun 25, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?$17.50Jun 25, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?$3.47Jun 25, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $5.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 19:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 05:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.