Showy-Symbol
0x92ed4a865fe2f044600a78627f20bdc9f79074b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
181
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-336.90
Realised
$4.13
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 181- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on March 12?
953 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 12?
929 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on March 12?
662 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on March 12?
643 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on March 12?
619 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 12?
593 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 13?
578 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 12?
572 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on March 13?
543 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on March 12?
538 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 13?$10.00Mar 14, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 13?$10.00Mar 14, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 13?$20.00Mar 14, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 12?$54.47Mar 14, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 13?$89.36Mar 14, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 14?$1.00Mar 12, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on March 14?$1.00Mar 12, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on March 14?$1.00Mar 12, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 14?$1.00Mar 12, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on March 14?$1.00Mar 12, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 14?$1.00Mar 12, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 14?$1.00Mar 12, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on March 14?$1.00Mar 12, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on March 12?$1.00Mar 12, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 12?$1.00Mar 12, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on March 13?$1.00Mar 12, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 12?$1.00Mar 12, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 13?$0.71Mar 12, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on March 12?$1.00Mar 12, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 11?$1.00Mar 12, 00:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 23:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.