Enlightened-Meringue
0x92f3e7b3f5136d0f4aea8d3fef0919f07a616f32
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-272.25
Realised
$11.26
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
218 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
104 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
34 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 30?
25 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 30?
22 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 30?
19 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on April 25?
19 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 23?
19 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$9.43May 30, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.65May 30, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?$7.98May 29, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?$3.45May 28, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?$3.50May 28, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.19May 28, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.01May 28, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$51.29May 28, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$50.11May 27, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$5.24May 27, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$5.24May 27, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$41.61May 27, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$5.24May 27, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$5.24May 27, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$2.56May 27, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.04May 27, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.04May 27, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$2.69May 27, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.03May 27, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.04May 27, 06:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 15:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.