Occasional-Woman
0x92f723ec5bd272499ecf243c965515f2c4f18250
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-135.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 10?
785 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 19?
719 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?
715 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 5?
695 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on April 5?
685 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 10?
675 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 7?
645 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 27?
635 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- YES
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 February 9-15?
600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$3.07Jul 3, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $260 end of June?$105.11Jul 3, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $260 end of June?$105.00Jun 27, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 22 above $275?$104.63Jun 27, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 22 above $275?$104.00Jun 26, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$10.66Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 30?$11.94Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $610b on May 31?$12.16Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$70.10Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$70.03May 31, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$70.03May 31, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$69.96May 30, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$10.65May 30, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$79.92May 30, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$80.00May 30, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$79.92May 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$80.00May 30, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $380-$390 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?$78.08May 30, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $380-$390 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?$78.00May 29, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 30?$11.90May 29, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $77.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 10:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.