Identical-Earplug
0x92f7aacb28d79b0ae0687bfb95c14aca2bb5514a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-161.28
Realised
$-5.52
Win rate
0%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?
110 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-07-21?
46 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 23?
44 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-07-21?
43 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
28 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$5.16Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.05Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.04Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.05Jul 24, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1.04Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.89Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.03Jul 23, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.04Jul 23, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.79Jul 23, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.03Jul 23, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.03Jul 23, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.05Jul 23, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$3.45Jul 23, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$1.75Jul 23, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.05Jul 23, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$1.03Jul 23, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.07Jul 23, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 23?$3.14Jul 23, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$2.56Jul 23, 01:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
35 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.