Failing-Majority
0x930b31d0f304575e3df76d25a332fd107a74a607
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
112
Open notional
$0.66
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-4.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
264 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.66
$-54.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 20?
6879 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-29.95
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 9?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 20?
4750 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-154.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?
3315 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 10?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?
1852 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13?
1707 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?
1645 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 27?
1628 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?$5.35Jun 12, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?$9.33Jun 12, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?$11.21Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$55.00Jun 11, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11?$5.35Jun 11, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11?$31.94Jun 11, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Phenomenon vs NA Last Hope (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs$62.18Jun 11, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Phenomenon vs NA Last Hope (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs$49.95Jun 11, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?$2.42Jun 10, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?$1.54Jun 10, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?$0.01Jun 10, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?$0.40Jun 10, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?$0.01Jun 10, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?$0.30Jun 10, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?$0.32Jun 10, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?$10.69Jun 10, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10?$5.00Jun 9, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?$0.88Jun 9, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?$0.12Jun 9, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?$13.50Jun 9, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 15:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 11:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.