Alive-Armrest
0x930bfc0b02a63912ffcca21b213efbf7304b2c0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$6.42
Total PnL
$1.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-13?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-10?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Next French confidence vote passes?
113 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$117.69Jan 8, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$120.00Jan 8, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Lorient win on 2026-01-10?$1.00Jan 8, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-13?$2.00Jan 8, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Jan 8, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$41.64Jan 8, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$10.00Oct 29, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext French confidence vote passes?$1.00Oct 29, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out in 2025?$68.04Oct 29, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out in 2025?$350.00Jan 7, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $71.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 17:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 10:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".