Positive-Estimate
0x930eaa0aab7d269b7e0940c0baff9409e39138cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$1.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
2082 shares @ 65.2¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.3K
$-13.76
- YES
Will G2 qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?
2130 shares @ 98.9¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$766.95
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Natus Vincere qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$67.50
$15.50
- YES
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027?
14 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$13.53
$0.72
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$9.05
$1.95
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$7.89
$3.30
- YES
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
70 shares @ 25.6¢·now 9.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.58
$-11.37
- YES
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.40
$0.60
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.45
$0.95
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$47.67Jun 15, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$9.44Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$587.86Jun 14, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$66.00Jun 14, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$6.14Jun 14, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$33.00Jun 14, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$25.43Jun 14, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$97.06Jun 14, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.94Jun 14, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$9.71Jun 14, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$19.41Jun 14, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$9.71Jun 14, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$133.73Jun 14, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$177.76Jun 14, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$189.00Jun 14, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natus Vincere qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?$52.00Jun 14, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$0.00Jun 14, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$0.01Jun 14, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$0.88Jun 14, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$0.01Jun 14, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $97.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 18:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.