0x931d8c8a46dde65ee0c0bb8991a4061965a773a8
0x931d8c8a46dde65ee0c0bb8991a4061965a773a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$98.62
Total PnL
$-67.34
Realised
$-47.19
Win rate
14%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27 shares @ 16.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$27.21
$22.77
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
22 shares @ 71.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$22.01
$6.36
- YES
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-11?
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$9.88
$5.83
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
7 shares @ 35.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.37
$4.72
- YES
Will SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
7 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$6.52
$4.50
- NO
Will Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$5.63
$1.63
- YES
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
5 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$3.40
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 42.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.00
$2.88
- SAN DIEGO PADRES
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$5.00
$2.35
- SERGEY FOMIN
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzige
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$5.00
$2.95
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.