Careful-Rim
0x931f985e6184861ecb5be546d8ad6a6ac8097b81
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-299.15
Realised
$8.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
818 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-23.73
- YES
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
741 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.40
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
399 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-107.21
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
264 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-26.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$26.40Mar 1, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$26.40Mar 1, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$23.73Mar 1, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$23.74Mar 1, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$371.05Feb 28, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 31?$0.00Feb 4, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$0.00Feb 4, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Feb 4, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$0.00Feb 4, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$0.00Jan 29, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$0.00Jan 21, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$0.00Jan 21, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?$39.30Jan 20, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?$40.31Jan 20, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$39.30Jan 20, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$17.52Jan 20, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$22.79Jan 20, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?$30.00Jan 20, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$16.03Jan 20, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$46.03Jan 20, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $38.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 18:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.