Anxious-Competence
0x931fc88a8928330d396be97cc1b373b002720136
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.4K
Realised
$1.8K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Fed end QT before May?
493838 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-987.68
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
60003 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-600.03
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?
30292 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-12.5K
- INDIA
ICC WWC: India vs. England
7650 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- NO
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?
14 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?$2.6KOct 19, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?$2.6KOct 19, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?$11.2KOct 19, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?$2.50Oct 19, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?$14.73Oct 19, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?$2.50Oct 19, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?$2.50Oct 19, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?$2.50Oct 19, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?$2.50Oct 19, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?$130.50Oct 19, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?$2.50Oct 19, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?$48.75Oct 19, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?$3.25Oct 19, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLICC WWC: India vs. England$74.19Oct 19, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLICC WWC: India vs. England$1.1KOct 19, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYICC WWC: India vs. England$320.00Oct 19, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYICC WWC: India vs. England$660.00Oct 19, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYICC WWC: India vs. England$350.00Oct 19, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYICC WWC: India vs. England$2.1KOct 19, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?$12.3KOct 18, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $938.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 21, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 19, 17:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.