Probable-Thongs
0x93255e7be27adecc4d9aa3881b081feb717214ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.79
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-03-17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- UNDER
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PENGUINS
Avalanche vs. Penguins
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DEVILS
Devils vs. Hurricanes
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- KINGS
Spread: Hornets (-17.5)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- TEAM SPIRIT
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $60 in March?$1.25Apr 30, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 28?$5.00Apr 23, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on March 29?$5.00Apr 23, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 11°C or below on March 29?$5.00Apr 23, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $50 in March?$5.68Apr 23, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on March 29?$5.96Apr 23, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$6.00Apr 23, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$6.00Apr 23, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$6.25Apr 23, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump cut off trade with Spain?$6.25Apr 23, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?$8.44Apr 23, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)$0.50Mar 29, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Oilers$0.50Mar 29, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)$0.50Mar 29, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs$0.50Mar 29, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs$0.50Mar 29, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYDevils vs. Hurricanes$0.50Mar 29, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDevils vs. Hurricanes$0.50Mar 29, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-17.5)$0.50Mar 29, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 28?$5.00Mar 29, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 12:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".