Welcome-Catsup
0x932dda06b4db685fb0f158152b0eeb34194a0681
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$9.01
Total PnL
$0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 91.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.29
$3.29
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 8.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.71
$-3.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$1.00Jun 21, 08:31 UTC
- SPLITWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.00Jun 21, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.00 in May?$1.01Jun 21, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.02Jun 21, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.03Jun 21, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.60 in May?$2.01Jun 21, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.80 in May?$2.02Jun 21, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 9, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.0KMay 9, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.0KMay 9, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$4.97May 9, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.60 in May?$2.00May 9, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.80 in May?$2.00May 9, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in May?$1.00May 9, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00May 9, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?$1.00May 9, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?$1.00May 9, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on July 31?$2.00May 9, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?$2.00May 9, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?$2.00May 9, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $171.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.