Substantial-Oncology
0x933137db49f5a97175e74956bc66c79cbf984b41
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.11
Total PnL
$-39.5K
Realised
$1.6K
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 61°F or below on May 4?
210 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- CELTICS
Celtics vs. Bulls
22938 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-16.1K
- 76ERS
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
16427 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-8.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
4209 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-991.89
- KINGS
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
3939 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Rockets
3758 shares @ 65.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
3531 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
3200 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
3182 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
2939 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-734.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 61°F or below on May 4?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$39.979d ago
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$41.559d ago
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$21.779d ago
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Knicks$15.6760d ago
- MAKER_REBATE$15.6762d ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$698.0263d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$27.0463d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$100.0063d ago
- TRADESELLSpread: Celtics (-7.5)$113.4563d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$19.2263d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$4.8063d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$4.4163d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.4563d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$24.0263d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.4563d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.4563d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$4.5063d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$3.5063d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.9463d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $31.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 63d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".