Granular-Alto
0x9332230e6cf02e6abf4b4a3f208fc08cdb9c23c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$82.86
Total PnL
$-73.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
65 shares @ 77.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$60.06
$10.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?
10 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.62
$0.86
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
5 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.19
$0.19
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
4 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.96
$0.20
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
189 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-85.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$4.00May 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$3.77May 17, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?$8.80May 17, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$2.00May 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 27, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.00Apr 27, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$5.03Apr 27, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$6.24Apr 27, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?$11.76Apr 27, 09:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Mar 31, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Mar 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$4.78Mar 25, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$4.17Mar 25, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMHouse passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?$4.72Mar 25, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWar Powers resolution passes the Senate?$5.30Mar 25, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$6.55Mar 25, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?$59.14Mar 25, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$6.09Mar 16, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?$4.70Mar 5, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$6.00Mar 5, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $37.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 09:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 17:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.