Reckless-Estimate
0x933238db40855a43c4d0a2345be9dfb41fa0cd0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-187.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on December 27?
543 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.57
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 15-21?
532 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-6.07
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 29?
291 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21?
288 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 25?
286 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.47
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 30?
286 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.59
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 25?
285 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.47
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 22-28?
284 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 20?
283 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.42
- YES
Will Solana reach $150 December 1-7?
281 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?$70.62Jun 1, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31?$67.80May 30, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 30?$2.83May 29, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 26?$2.36May 25, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$71.82May 22, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$68.80May 22, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?$64.44May 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?$63.02May 13, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on March 28?$21.37May 7, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$51.52Apr 28, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 21?$1.47Apr 21, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 on April 18?$2.59Apr 19, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on December 10?$0.00Apr 19, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 16?$2.91Apr 16, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$3.47Apr 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$3.46Apr 13, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$4.91Apr 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$3.75Apr 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$3.54Apr 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 14?$29.30Apr 13, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $27.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".