Mad-Crane
0x93384cd4940b44f83a4f09f6cfc262d40c3675ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$2.27
Total PnL
$-331.82
Realised
$-0.61
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- YES
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win MSI 2026?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.17
$-1.83
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of March 2?
671 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on March 6?
397 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or higher on March 12?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?
315 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 9?
113 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$2.03May 20, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.01May 6, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.00May 6, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.03Mar 22, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.02Mar 22, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMavericks vs. Bucks$3.18Mar 22, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.00Mar 21, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.04Mar 21, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Mar 21, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.02Mar 21, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.01Mar 21, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.00Mar 21, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.00Mar 21, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.06Mar 16, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.38Mar 16, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 16, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 16, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 16, 01:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 21:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".