Average-Musician
0x933f677c412bc4204f8950c518516900e4cb2451
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$65.74
Total PnL
$-56.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 29?
89 shares @ 8.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$13.82
$6.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 29?
90 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$11.20
$2.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?
11 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$10.67
$6.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 29?
43 shares @ 21.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.61
$1.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?
20 shares @ 36.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$7.99
$0.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 29?
250 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.75
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 29?
26 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.25
$-0.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?
183 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.75
$-0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 29?
83 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.24
$-1.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 29?
37 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.43
$-0.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?$0.35Jul 28, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?$0.10Jul 28, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?$0.14Jul 28, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 29?$6.25Jul 28, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?$0.02Jul 28, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 29?$0.11Jul 28, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?$0.08Jul 28, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?$0.16Jul 28, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 29?$0.80Jul 28, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?$2.70Jul 28, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?$1.40Jul 28, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?$0.07Jul 28, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?$0.82Jul 28, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?$0.12Jul 28, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 29?$0.60Jul 28, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?$0.42Jul 28, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 29?$1.25Jul 28, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?$4.83Jul 28, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 29?$3.67Jul 28, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 29?$1.45Jul 28, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 02:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.