Normal-Midwife
0x93400416b2a7676ef80dbccd369e4fc1f48e043f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$1.95
Total PnL
$-14.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$31.25Jul 26, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?$1.42Jun 1, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$71.43Dec 24, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$0.00Dec 24, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$0.00Dec 24, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 21, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34$0.00Nov 21, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$0.00Nov 21, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.00Nov 12, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$14.87Nov 12, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$1.40Nov 6, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$19.47Nov 6, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4$0.34Nov 6, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$1.91Nov 6, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?$1.75Nov 6, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$4.99Nov 5, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$25.00Nov 5, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$40.00Nov 5, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?$20.00Nov 5, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?$10.00Nov 5, 06:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $11.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 07:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 23:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.