Pessimistic-Simplification
0x93420f31e57228f05d45209d4917588e06bc0e9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-50.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 22?
233 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on April 16?
186 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 31?
172 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?
168 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?
157 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 26?
138 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 21?
138 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26?
119 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-17.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 23?
105 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 27?
96 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.37
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?$188.47Jun 2, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?$187.15Jun 2, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$24.48Jun 2, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 1?$32.04May 25, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$2.42May 22, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?$2.18May 22, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 29?$180.00May 18, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?$1.07May 15, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 11?$210.63May 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 11?$207.25May 10, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.20 on April 11?$224.67May 10, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on January 24?$0.00Apr 28, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 22?$0.00Apr 19, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 16?$2.40Apr 16, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$0.02Apr 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$22.87Apr 12, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 on April 11?$222.87Apr 12, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.20 March 30-April 5?$211.54Apr 12, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 March 30-April 5?$208.79Apr 6, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 1?$241.39Apr 6, 00:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $76.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.