Vibrant-Crab
0x93481e99e9bc375a83021e9c09f899dd89456c19
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.89
Total PnL
$-150.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.36
$0.36
- YES
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?
1160 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in January 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?
824 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
627 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.25
- NO
Will Trump say "Venezuela On Steroids" this week? (January 25)
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- VU OF LYNCHBURG DRAGONS
VU of Lynchburg Dragons vs. Morgan State Bears
300 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill JD Vance's remarks not air?$0.00Mar 14, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Rocky Mount visit?$0.00Mar 14, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?$12.00Mar 13, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?$2.00Mar 13, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Rocky Mount visit?$3.00Mar 13, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance's remarks not air?$2.00Mar 13, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$8.00Feb 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$5.00Feb 9, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBig Game: 'Drake ‘Tom Brady’ Maye' Parlay$8.00Feb 8, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?$5.00Feb 8, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$5.00Feb 8, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?$5.00Feb 8, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microchip Technology say "Hyperscaler" during earnings call?$2.00Feb 5, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?$2.00Feb 5, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in January?$12.00Jan 21, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$5.00Jan 21, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 21, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela On Steroids" this week? (January 25)$2.00Jan 21, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYVU of Lynchburg Dragons vs. Morgan State Bears$0.04Jan 21, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYVU of Lynchburg Dragons vs. Morgan State Bears$0.19Jan 21, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 17:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 09:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".