Old-Fashioned-Swimsuit
0x9352067c220335b9c61bd313ef1cbc6bb992fb67
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-213.94
Realised
$72.10
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
350 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.40
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
301 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
300 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-24.90
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 17-23?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?
250 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 11?
207 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 14?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
180 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$4.80Jan 28, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$8.00Jan 27, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 7?$0.48Jan 7, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 7?$0.42Jan 7, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 7?$0.01Jan 7, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 7?$0.13Jan 7, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 7?$0.06Jan 7, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 13?$1.59Dec 10, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 15?$0.65Dec 10, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 15?$0.57Dec 10, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 15?$0.41Dec 10, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.00Dec 6, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$8.00Dec 2, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on November 22?$0.38Nov 22, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on November 22?$0.97Nov 22, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 22?$1.05Nov 22, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$13.05Nov 21, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.45Nov 21, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$14.00Nov 21, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 21?$0.11Nov 21, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 14:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.