Shimmering-Moustache-Pheromone
0x935d2432359de13210b5be77af00e4e5e7b2a898
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$82.22
Total PnL
$-317.15
Realised
$-9.37
Win rate
0%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$8.06
$3.06
- UNDER
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$7.74
$2.74
- EMBERKOCA
Counter-Strike: Younglings vs EmberKoca (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffs
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$6.76
$1.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$6.36
$1.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
52 shares @ 9.7¢·now 10.8¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$5.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- BOSTON RED SOX
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
- EX-SASHI ACADEMY
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs ex-Sashi Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group D
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$4.82
$-0.18
- SENTINELS
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$4.73
$-0.27
- OVER
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$4.70
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neftchi Baku PFC win on 2026-08-16?$5.14Aug 16, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$5.15Aug 16, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLAssociação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5$10.40Aug 16, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur win on 2026-08-16?$0.00Aug 16, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur win on 2026-08-16?$0.01Aug 16, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMUlsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5$0.01Aug 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5$5.14Aug 16, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5$5.12Aug 16, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)$5.13Aug 16, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham Hotspur win on 2026-08-16?$13.14Aug 16, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$0.00Aug 16, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$0.01Aug 16, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group$5.19Aug 16, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?$5.23Aug 16, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUlsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5$10.62Aug 16, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs ex-Sashi Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group D$5.18Aug 16, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTSG Hoffenheim leading at halftime?$5.20Aug 16, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUlsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5$5.13Aug 16, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$16.10Aug 16, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: PHI (-3.5)$0.01Aug 16, 06:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 59 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
59 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 22:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.